Week #
Beg Date
End Date
Best Bets
Wins
Loses
Ties
Units
Running
Total
1
4/25/2010
5/1/2010
4
1
3
0
-4.40
-4.40
Season Totals
4
1
3
0
-4.40
All Stats and Records are through games of Sunday, May 1st
Week in Review
We released picks for the first time in 2011 and started the year with a losing week going 1-3. Three games (1-2) were decided in the final inning of the game, with Florida and St. Louis blowing early 4-0 leads in 2 of these losses. As more games are having the required starts for each pitcher we expect to offer a larger quantity of picks this coming week.
Weekly Trends
This was a big week for underdogs. Dogs went 52-36 (59%) as compared with the week before where favorites won 64%. Dogs and Favorites are now an even .500 (203-203) in his young season. You would be plus a whopping 44 units if you had played every underdog, every day, as you are taking a premium on each wager. The numbers hold very close whether on the Road or at Home. Favorites winning only 50% is a trend that will not continue throughout the season. You can look for that number to rise to somewhere between 55 and 60%.
Surprises in April
In the American League the biggest surprise has to be the Cleveland Indians. At 19-8 the Tribe is in First Place in the AL Central Division and has the best record in all of Baseball. The amazing stat is their 13 game Home winning streak where they are now 13-2! The Indians where 38-43 at Home last year.
The Minnesota Twins are the big negative surprise thus far in 2011. The Twins were 94-68 in 2010 and find themselves 9-18 thus far in 2011. They are currently doing everything wrong, as they are last in the AL in both hitting (Batting Average) and pitching (ERA).
The Phillies have the best record in the NL, with no surprise there. Overachievers include Florida and Colorado, both at 17-9. Last year’s darlings, the San Francisco Giants and San Diego Padres, are clearing underachieving. The Giants won 92 regular season games last year and the Padres 90. In 2011 San Fran is 13-14 and the Padres are 11-17. San Diego leads the NL in pitching (lowest in ERA) but finds themselves last in hitting (.211 Batting Average). I thought good pitching was supposed to beat good hitting!
All teams are within the expected range of the .333 and .667 winning percentages.
Newsletter Topics
Please feel free to email suggestions to info@thebaseballhandicapper.com.
Wishing you a great week!
The Baseball Handicapper
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